Covid19.py Plots (Normal)

Last Plot Update: 2020-12-04 18:05:03

Click here to see Log plots instead

* More Info: available on GitHub and infotinks.com

* Delta is change from previous day ( + is growth; - is reduction )

* Ratio is % change from previous day ( 1 or higher is growth; 0 to 1 is reduction )

* Note: Peak active case prediction date is calculated using a linear regression fit on "active cases ratio" and examing its past X days values to see when it crosses 1.0.

* An r 2 closer to 1.0 means a better prediction.

* Ignore predictions with past dates.

* Note: The plotly graphs are interactive. To have better you can click on the "Normal" or "Log" link for each country to see it's own interactive plot.

There you can control control which information is plotted by clicking & double clicking on the items in the legend to isolate or disable that data.

* Note: The graph is projected from the source data provided here: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

#0. TOTAL

Normal | Log

Date: 2020-12-3 Last Value Last Delta Change Last Ratio Change
Cases 65220676 690508 1.0107
Deaths 1506256 12517 1.00838
Recovered 41932029 435706 1.0105
Active Cases 21782391 242285 1.01125

* Last percent recovered from all cases: 64.29%

* Last percent dead from all cases: 2.31%

Active Case Peak Prediction : using past X days of "active case ratio" in a linear regression fit algorithm

past days 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
predicted peak date 2020-12-08 2020-12-05 2020-12-07 2020-12-10 2020-12-12 2020-12-31 2020-12-28 2020-12-22 2020-12-15 2020-12-14 2020-12-14
r 2 0.24604 0.54766 0.48002 0.35691 0.34544 0.0665 0.10177 0.18634 0.32961 0.40955 0.45136

* Note: The graph is projected from the source data provided here: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

#1. US

Normal | Log

Date: 2020-12-3 Last Value Last Delta Change Last Ratio Change
Cases 14139577 217664 1.01563
Deaths 276325 2879 1.01053
Recovered 5404018 81890 1.01539
Active Cases 8459234 132895 1.01596

* Last percent recovered from all cases: 38.22%

* Last percent dead from all cases: 1.95%

Active Case Peak Prediction : using past X days of "active case ratio" in a linear regression fit algorithm

past days 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
predicted peak date 2020-11-06 2020-12-23 2021-07-05 2020-11-07 2020-08-31 2020-10-14 2021-01-20 2021-01-09 2020-12-21 2020-12-18 2020-12-19
r 2 0.28859 0.13867 0.00223 0.1468 0.01152 0.05427 0.03238 0.06331 0.19285 0.26622 0.2892

* Note: The graph is projected from the source data provided here: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

#2. India

Normal | Log

Date: 2020-12-3 Last Value Last Delta Change Last Ratio Change
Cases 9571559 36595 1.00384
Deaths 139188 540 1.00389
Recovered 9016289 42916 1.00478
Active Cases 416082 -6861 0.98378

* Last percent recovered from all cases: 94.2%

* Last percent dead from all cases: 1.45%

Active Case Peak Prediction : using past X days of "active case ratio" in a linear regression fit algorithm

past days 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
predicted peak date 2020-11-24 2020-11-26 2020-11-26 2020-11-27 2020-11-27 2020-11-26 2020-11-25 2020-11-25 2020-11-23 2020-11-23 2020-11-21
r 2 0.18917 0.42188 0.62379 0.74911 0.79969 0.45097 0.46346 0.43471 0.26946 0.25804 0.17029

* Note: The graph is projected from the source data provided here: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

#3. Brazil

Normal | Log

Date: 2020-12-3 Last Value Last Delta Change Last Ratio Change
Cases 6487084 50434 1.00784
Deaths 175270 755 1.00433
Recovered 5792539 33245 1.00577
Active Cases 519275 16434 1.03268

* Last percent recovered from all cases: 89.29%

* Last percent dead from all cases: 2.7%

Active Case Peak Prediction : using past X days of "active case ratio" in a linear regression fit algorithm

past days 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
predicted peak date 2020-11-30 2020-11-30 2020-11-29 2020-11-29 2020-11-30 2020-11-30 2020-12-01 2020-11-30 2020-12-01 2020-12-01 2020-12-01
r 2 0.50807 0.32729 0.2664 0.28673 0.1617 0.05661 0.02281 0.06579 0.07061 0.07398 0.06335

* Note: The graph is projected from the source data provided here: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

#4. Russia

Normal | Log

Date: 2020-12-3 Last Value Last Delta Change Last Ratio Change
Cases 2354934 27829 1.01196
Deaths 41173 543 1.01336
Recovered 1843526 29084 1.01603
Active Cases 470235 -1798 0.99619

* Last percent recovered from all cases: 78.28%

* Last percent dead from all cases: 1.75%

Active Case Peak Prediction : using past X days of "active case ratio" in a linear regression fit algorithm

past days 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
predicted peak date 2020-12-03 2020-12-19 2020-11-18 2020-11-25 2020-11-24 2020-12-07 2020-12-03 2020-12-14 2020-02-02 2020-11-14 2020-11-20
r 2 0.05223 0.0023 0.0075 0.08864 0.07062 0.01933 0.0775 0.01012 4e-05 0.01657 0.07628

* Note: The graph is projected from the source data provided here: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

#5. France

Normal | Log

Date: 2020-12-3 Last Value Last Delta Change Last Ratio Change
Cases 2310271 12878 1.00561
Deaths 54231 325 1.00603
Recovered 172574 1377 1.00804
Active Cases 2083466 11176 1.00539

* Last percent recovered from all cases: 7.47%

* Last percent dead from all cases: 2.35%

Active Case Peak Prediction : using past X days of "active case ratio" in a linear regression fit algorithm

past days 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
predicted peak date 2021-01-25 2020-12-24 2020-12-15 2020-12-11 2020-12-22 2020-05-28 2021-01-27 2020-12-19 2020-12-11 2020-12-09 2020-12-06
r 2 0.00357 0.03357 0.12349 0.27273 0.09017 0.00146 0.01714 0.12717 0.27737 0.38835 0.50273

* Note: The graph is projected from the source data provided here: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

#6. United Kingdom

Normal | Log

Date: 2020-12-3 Last Value Last Delta Change Last Ratio Change
Cases 1678418 14951 1.00899
Deaths 60210 414 1.00692
Recovered 3623 21 1.00583
Active Cases 1614585 14516 1.00907

* Last percent recovered from all cases: 0.22%

* Last percent dead from all cases: 3.59%

Active Case Peak Prediction : using past X days of "active case ratio" in a linear regression fit algorithm

past days 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
predicted peak date 2017-08-03 2021-03-01 2020-12-26 2020-12-20 2021-01-26 2021-01-19 2020-12-31 2020-12-23 2020-12-20 2020-12-16 2020-12-17
r 2 0.0001 0.02942 0.27937 0.47661 0.06716 0.1145 0.26986 0.41854 0.52861 0.62265 0.65579

* Note: The graph is projected from the source data provided here: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

#7. Spain

Normal | Log

Date: 2020-12-3 Last Value Last Delta Change Last Ratio Change
Cases 1675902 10127 1.00608
Deaths 46038 254 1.00555
Recovered 150376 0 1.0
Active Cases 1479488 9873 1.00672

* Last percent recovered from all cases: 8.97%

* Last percent dead from all cases: 2.75%

Active Case Peak Prediction : using past X days of "active case ratio" in a linear regression fit algorithm

past days 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
predicted peak date 2020-11-28 2020-11-22 2020-10-01 2021-06-12 2021-01-01 2020-12-06 2020-12-23 2020-08-18 2021-01-26 2020-12-24 2020-12-19
r 2 0.24982 0.0611 0.00196 0.00028 0.01354 0.18896 0.02247 0.00147 0.00525 0.03061 0.0581

* Note: The graph is projected from the source data provided here: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

#8. Italy

Normal | Log

Date: 2020-12-3 Last Value Last Delta Change Last Ratio Change
Cases 1664829 23219 1.01414
Deaths 58038 993 1.01741
Recovered 846809 23474 1.02851
Active Cases 759982 -1248 0.99836

* Last percent recovered from all cases: 50.86%

* Last percent dead from all cases: 3.49%

Active Case Peak Prediction : using past X days of "active case ratio" in a linear regression fit algorithm

past days 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
predicted peak date 2020-11-29 2020-11-27 2020-11-27 2020-11-25 2020-11-25 2020-11-23 2020-11-25 2020-11-25 2020-11-26 2020-11-26 2020-11-26
r 2 0.80884 0.35864 0.47296 0.25351 0.30029 0.12356 0.29814 0.4289 0.52673 0.60982 0.60015

* Note: The graph is projected from the source data provided here: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

#9. Argentina

Normal | Log

Date: 2020-12-3 Last Value Last Delta Change Last Ratio Change
Cases 1447732 7629 1.0053
Deaths 39305 149 1.00381
Recovered 1274675 6317 1.00498
Active Cases 133752 1163 1.00877

* Last percent recovered from all cases: 88.05%

* Last percent dead from all cases: 2.71%

Active Case Peak Prediction : using past X days of "active case ratio" in a linear regression fit algorithm

past days 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
predicted peak date 2020-11-30 2020-11-29 2020-11-29 2020-11-29 2020-11-29 2020-11-29 2020-11-29 2020-11-29 2020-11-29 2020-11-29 2020-12-02
r 2 0.72501 0.5539 0.37641 0.04892 0.02828 0.1908 0.33227 0.33416 0.25888 0.21266 0.04177

* Note: The graph is projected from the source data provided here: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

#10. Colombia

Normal | Log

Date: 2020-12-3 Last Value Last Delta Change Last Ratio Change
Cases 1343322 9233 1.00692
Deaths 37305 188 1.00507
Recovered 1233115 7480 1.0061
Active Cases 72902 1565 1.02194

* Last percent recovered from all cases: 91.8%

* Last percent dead from all cases: 2.78%

Active Case Peak Prediction : using past X days of "active case ratio" in a linear regression fit algorithm

past days 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
predicted peak date 2020-12-12 2020-12-07 2020-12-05 2020-12-08 2020-11-18 2020-11-23 2020-11-20 2020-11-19 2020-11-12 2020-11-14 2020-11-14
r 2 0.08788 0.32317 0.55273 0.27478 0.06095 0.23106 0.09668 0.09819 0.03885 0.06612 0.07492